NIFTY — LIVE

3:15 PM Options Checklist

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Live data

Market direction · Hilega Milega

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Writer cash · are option sellers being squeezed?

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Today's triggers

Underlying (1-min) + ATM flow (₹cr) · bars rise by magnitude · green = bullish (▮ PE write + ▮ CE buy) · red = bearish (▮ CE write + ▮ PE buy)
Premium ladder — change since 09:15 · ATM and OTM 1–5, both sides (▮ calls · ▮ puts)
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Signal scorecard — where our own signals were wrong
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Build follow-through — was the flagged open-interest build still on at the close?
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How to read. One window, two sections sharing the same time axis. Top ~70%: 1-min candles + score 1–10 markers. Default score basis is Write + Buy: bullish flow = PE writing + CE buying, bearish = CE writing + PE buying (switch to "Writing only" for the original writers-only score). A marker appears only when the dominant flow exceeds the threshold — default is a rolling mean + 2σ over the trailing 60 minutes (current minute excluded), so what you see on replay equals what you'd have seen live; no hindsight. Score 1 = at threshold, 10 = ≥4× threshold. Green ▲ below = bullish dominant; Red ▼ above = bearish dominant. The faint green/red background shading is the regime: sign of the rolling 30-min net flow (all four flows). Bottom strip: per-minute ATM flow, one bar per significant minute, all rising UPWARD by magnitude. Each minute shows only its dominant side — green when bullish (light green = PE writing + deep green cap = CE buying), red when bearish (light red = CE writing + deep red cap = PE buying). Flow basis (default Volume, matching the reference HFT indicator): each minute's flow = that strike's traded turnover, labelled by price direction — price↓ = writing (sellers aggressing), price↑ = buying (buyers aggressing). Switch to OI change to measure net new positioning (ΔOI) instead — that's the more "committed-money" lens, but it reads put-heavy where volume reads call-heavy (calls trade more, puts write more). Either way it's an aggregate aggressor heuristic, not a fact — every contract has a buyer and a seller. The side panel's fund-flow table mirrors the reference: last-60-minute and day totals per flow.

📒 Paper book — 10 lots per strategy · auto-executed from recommendations · marks update on Refresh · full trade log →
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▸ Golden Goose
Daily 3:15 PM · BB-21 centerline cross · Monthly credit spread · 100-pt strikes, wing ≤ 2%, credit ₹90–130 · Roll T-7
▸ Panther
Daily 3:15 PM · CMF-21 zero-cross · Monthly credit spread · 100-pt strikes, wing 200–400, credit ≥ ₹200 · Roll T-8
▸ Nidhi Kalash
Daily 3:20 PM · EMA-53 daily-close cross · Monthly credit spread · sold ≥ 0.5% OTM, wing ≤ 2.5%, credit 90–110 (bull) / 90–130 (bear) · Roll 2nd-last Wed of sold-leg month · Skip Muhurat/Budget/election days
Ref: ~2 trades/mo · 8 of 9 quarters positive · ~₹65k/lot · ~200-pt max DD observed
▸ Batman
Last Friday 3:15 PM · Call-side 1-2-1: Buy 1×(spot+300) CE / Sell 2×(spot+600) CE / Buy 1×(spot+1600) CE · next month · Book ≥ +2% MTM, else hold to rebuild
▸ No Brainer NIFTY
Last Friday 3:16 PM · Call-side 1-2-1 (same strikes as Batman) · next month · Target +2.5% / Stop −3% of deployed capital / else hold to expiry
▸ Expiry Double Butterfly
Monday before weekly expiry 3:15 PM · Call fly + Put fly, X = 0.5% of spot (S±0.5X / 2×S±1.5X / S±2.5X) · weekly expiry · Exit Tuesday ~3:25 PM
▸ Golden Goose LEAPS
Daily 3:15 PM · BB-21 midline · Sell quarter-end LEAPS (500/1000-pt strikes, OTM, ₹200–450) + monthly hedge ~2% away · Hedge roll 18th · LEAPS flips only on signal · Q1→Mar Q2→Jun Q3→Sep Q4→Dec (Feb 15–20 → June)
▸ Ocean Treasure
2h VWMA-21 cross · Sell quarter-end (₹200–220) + same-month hedge (₹20–50, ≤700 pts) · 500-pt strikes · Hedge roll T-4, short leg holds until signal flips · after 20th of Q-month-2 → next quarter
Ref: ~20 trades/qtr · ~273 pts/qtr after hedge cost · ~6.5%/mo on capital · M2M DD up to ~200 pts is normal
▸ Triple Calendar
Non-directional, always-on · SELL 3-wk weekly / BUY 4-wk weekly, same strikes · 3 tents: ATM CE ± (straddle+75→100s) wings (PE below / CE above) · Filters: India VIX 10–22, wing 400–900 · Exit +8% of debit, HARD time stop front−7d, −40% circuit breaker · Wing breach: add 4th calendar (once), 2nd breach = exit · No payoff chart (two expiries — front-expiry value needs a vol model)
Source: US QQQ triple calendar (82% win, +6.3%/trade avg claimed) — spec + audit in docs/strategies/. NOT yet live-verified on NIFTY; back-leg weekly liquidity is the known risk. Paper-tracked at 10 lots.
▸ Matrix Calendar
Monday 3:16 PM · ratio calendar · zero adjustment · gate: India VIX > 20 · SELL 2× ~0.23-delta CE + 2× ~0.23-delta PE in the 5–12 DTE weekly (deliberately NOT tomorrow's expiry) · BUY 1× wings 500 pts further OTM, same weekly · BUY 1× at the SAME sold strikes in the MONTHLY — the calendar leg that turns position vega POSITIVE · 100-pt strikes only, delta flexed 0.20–0.28 to keep both sold premiums comparable · Exit +1.5% / −2% ON MARGIN, hard 2-day time stop · No payoff chart (two expiries)
Source: Kundan Prajapati (same author as Batman) — transcript in docs/strategies/. His claim is that it beats an iron condor on the same strikes in every regime because it is long vega. We verified the vega sign from first principles: this build is +1.24 vega vs −10.62 for the equivalent condor, and on a 6-point IV spike it gains ₹13.9/unit where the condor loses ₹55.9. His win-rate claims are NOT verified. Paper-tracked at 10 lots.
📒 Paper trade log — 10 lots per strategy · every actionable recommendation auto-executed · P&L NET of costs
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How to read. A cash-secured put is a paid limit order: you hold strike × lot in cash and get premium for agreeing to buy there. Premium is the BEST BID — what you'd actually receive selling into the book — never the last traded price, which on cheap options can overstate the yield by 20%+ (the bid/LTP gap is shown per row). Two probabilities are given: one on the stock's realized volatility and one on the market's implied volatility. Screens that quote only the realized number flatter the trade, because implied normally runs above realized — that gap is what you're being paid, and it's shown. Both assume a lognormal distribution and therefore understate fat left tails, which is the only direction that hurts you. If assigned shows your true cost basis (strike − premium) — for a CSP, assignment is the plan, not the failure; being assigned far above market is. Risk flags combine always-available price signals (below 200-DMA, off 52w high, sharp decline, IV spike) with best-effort fundamentals (promoter pledge, debt, margins) — an empty flag list means nothing was found, not that the company is sound.